Senatsvalg 3. november

6-årig valgperiode

Den nuværende sammensætning:  53 R - 45 D+2 Independent
For at få Demokratisk flertal skal partiet vinde 3 mandater 
(Ved Stemmelighed tiltræder vicepræsidenten)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_electioens

Demokrat

Republikaner Tendens

Around 1. Sept. 

Alabama Doug Dones Tommy Tuberville Lean R R +17 R +1
Alaska Edgar Bladfort Dan Sullivan Likely R Even
Arizona Mark Kelly Martha McSally Lean D  Fox News 56-39 Eventuelt D +1
Arkansas Ingen Tom Cotton Safe R
Colorado John Hickenlooper Cory Gardner Tossup  D + 5 Eventuelt D +1
Delaware Chris Coons Lauren Witzke Safe D
Georgia Jon Ossof David Perdue Lean R  D +1
Idaho Paulette Jordan Jim Riff Safe R
Illinois Dick Durban Marc Curran Safe D D + 2
Iova Theresa Greenfield Joni Ernst Tossup R + 5
Kansas Roger Marchall  Barbara Bollier Lean R  R + 2
Kentucky Amy McGratth Mitch McConnel Likely R Quinnipiack 41-53
Louisiana  Perkins / Piers Bill Cassidy Safe R Jungleprimary 3. Nov.
Maine Sara Gideon Susan Collins Tossup Quinnipiack 54-42 Eventuelt D +1
Massachusets Ed Marky Jevin O'Connor Safe D
Michigan Gary Peters John James Lean D
Minnesota Tina Smith   Jason Louis Safe D
Mississippi Mike Esby Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe R
Montana Steve Bullock Steve Daines Tossup R + 3 Eventuelt D +1
Nebraska Chris Janicek Ben Sasse Safe R
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Corky Messner Safe D
New Jersey Cory Booker Rick Metha Safe D
New Mexico Ben Ray Lujan Mark Ronchetti Safe D
North Carolina Carl Cunnigham Thom Tillis Tossup Fox News 48-42 Eventuelt D +1
Oklahoma Abby Broyles D   Jim Inhofe Safe  R
Oregon Jeff Merkley Jo Rae Perkins Safe D
Rhode Island Jack Reed Allen Waters Safe D
South Carolina Jamie Harrison Lindsey Graham Likely R Quinnipiack 48-48
South Dakota Dan Ahlers Mike Rounds Safe R
Tennessee Marquita Bradshaw Bill Hagarthy Safe R
Texas JM Hager John Cornyn Likely R R + 4
Virginia Mark Warner Daniel Gade Safe D
West Virginia Paula J Swearingen Shelley More Capito Safe R
Wyoming Merav Ben-David Synthia Lummis Safe R
"Tossup": no advantage
"lean": slight advantage
"likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
"safe": near-certain chance of victory

Junglevalg vil sige, at alle, der har meldt sig som kandidater, vil være på stemmesedlen 3. november. Evt. senere Runn-Of.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map_race_changes.html

https://poll.qu.edu/south-carolina/release-detail?ReleaseID=3673

MAINE: SENATE RACE 16.9. MA

Democrat Sara Gideon leads the race among likely voters for the U.S. Senate in Maine 54 - 42 percent over Republican Senator Susan Collins, who is seeking her fifth term.

Eighty-nine percent of likely voters who selected a candidate in the Senate matchup say their minds are made up, and 10 percent say they might change their minds before the election.

"The tide has turned on Senator Susan Collins, who was so popular in Maine that she won nearly 70 percent of the vote the last time she ran. Likely voters are sending the message that there's no 'middle of the road' when it comes to President Trump, who is deeply unpopular in the state," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow.

Likely voters give Senator Collins a negative 43 - 51 percent favorability rating, while they give Sara Gideon a positive 49 - 37 percent favorability rating.

Likely voters say 49 - 33 percent that Gideon is honest, and say 48 - 42 percent that Collins is honest.

When asked if the candidates care about average people, voters say 60 - 27 percent that Gideon cares and they say 51 - 44 percent that Collins cares.

Likely voters in Maine say the economy (21 percent) is the most important issue in deciding who to vote for in the U.S. Senate race. The economy is followed by health care (15 percent), law and order (14 percent), the coronavirus pandemic (13 percent), and the Supreme Court (13 percent).

Voters say 53 - 40 percent that they would want to see the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate.

 

SOUTH CAROLINA: SENATE RACE 16.9. SC

Senator Lindsey Graham, who is seeking his fourth term in the U.S. Senate, is tied with his Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison. Forty-eight percent of likely voters support Graham, while 48 percent support Harrison.

Ninety-three percent of likely voters who selected a candidate in the Senate matchup say their minds are made up, and 6 percent say they may change their minds.

Likely voters have a mixed opinion of Senator Graham, with 44 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of him, while 49 percent say they have an unfavorable opinion of him. For Jaime Harrison, 47 percent have a favorable opinion, while 34 percent have an unfavorable opinion.

Likely voters say 48 - 24 percent that Harrison is honest, and they say 49 - 40 percent that Graham is not honest.

When asked if the candidates care about average people, voters say 55 - 25 percent that Harrison cares, while they are split when it comes to Graham. Forty-five percent say he cares about average people, and 48 percent say he does not.

"A victor by almost 16 points back in 2014, Senator Graham stares down the first real test of his Senate tenure. Outspent and accused by some of being a Trump apologist, he is in a precarious tie," added Malloy.

Likely voters in South Carolina name law and order (23 percent) as the most important issue in deciding who to vote for in the U.S. Senate race, followed by the economy (22 percent), the coronavirus pandemic (12 percent), racial inequality (12 percent), and the Supreme Court (11 percent).

Voters say 52 - 44 percent that they want to see the Republican Party win control of the United States Senate.

 

 

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